![]() ![]() For example, an element lower down in group 1, like caesium, will be more reactive than an element higher up in group one, like potassium. There are different trends in reactivity for metals and non-metals and often these trends are opposite. This is hard to answer because it depends on whether we are discussing a non-metal or metal. The most reactive group 7 element is Fluorine. This is because the electron is attracted by the positive nucleus so the shorter the distance to the nucleus, the better. However, in this 'gaining electron' scenario, the most reactive element in group 7 is the one with the fewest electron shells. Similarly, the elements that find it easiest to gain an electron are those with 7 electrons in their outer shell (all elements in group 7 as they really want to have 8 electrons in their outer shell). Therefore, all group 1 elements are the very reactive (they all have 1 electron in their outer shell) but Francium is the most reactive (it has the most number of electron shells therefore there is a greater distance between the outer electron and the nucleus). It is easiest for an atom to lose an electron (therefore easier for it to react/be more reactive) if there is only one electron in the outer shell and there is a big distance from the nucleus. ![]() Ionic reactions tend to be more vigorous than covalent. A chemical reaction always includes a reshuffle of electrons (which are found in orbiting the positive protons and neutrons in the nucleus). ![]()
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![]() ![]() Remember that we know that this model is wrong. The predictions for the model are now stored in the worksheet. In the table, enter the columns of predictors from the validation data set: 'A_2', 'B_2', 'C_2', and 'D_2'.In the drop-down menu, select Enter columns of values. ![]() Choose Stat > Regression > Regression > Predict.We can quickly store the predictions from the validation data set to evaluate the model. Once we have this model, Minitab helps out a lot. This model should come close to maximizing the r 2 statistic for this sample data. Under Add terms using selected predictors and model terms in Interactions through order, select 4.In Continuous predictors, enter ' A_1'-'D_1'.Choose Stat > Regression > Regression > Fit Regression Model. #MINITAB 17 HOW TO#Here's how to fit that model in Minitab Statistical Software: To start, I'll try fitting a model that has all the predictors that we can use in the training data set, and all of the interactions between those terms. For clarity, I'll append _1 to the variable names when I'm using the training data set, and _2 to the names when I'm using the validation data set. ![]() Then we’ll do regression on the training sample to identify some models we think are the most like the real relationship. Let’s say that we collect 500 data points and decide that we can use half to train the model and half to validate the model. E, F, and G are independent of the variables that we can include in the model. The remaining predictors, E, F, and G are real variables, but they’re going to become part of the error variation in our analysis. For our example, we’re going to assume that the data we can collect for prediction are only A, B, C, and D. But it's impossible to account for every variable that affects the number of points scored every game. For example, we can make a good guess about the number of points a basketball player will score in his next game based on the player's historical performance, the opponent's quality, and various other factors. In regression, we usually cannot measure or identify all of the predictor variables that influence a response variable. Let’s say that we have some data where we know that Y = A + B + C + D + E + F + G. If you do, consider skipping the steps where I set the base for the random numbers: If you produce different random numbers, the conclusion of the exercise will still be the same for almost everyone!) (The steps I used to set up the data appear at the end, if you want to follow along. This will let me show you how Minitab Statistical Software’s Predict makes it easy to get the numbers that you need to evaluate your model with the training data set. I’m going to use a hypothetical example so that you can see how it works when we really know the correct model to use. Regression is a good analysis for this, because a validation data set can help you to verify that you’ve selected the best model. Last time I posted, I showed you how to divide a data set into training and validation samples in Minitab with the promise that next time I would show you a way to use the validation sample. ![]() ![]() I had some family issues a couple years ago that I have struggled with tremendously and still to this day make me break down and cry. #Jessie jame tvAs a woman in 2022, I don’t understand why I can’t have a family, publish books, own a fashion brand, be an influencer, and do TV without being questioned if I take my music career seriously just because I’ve chosen to dream big. I’ve been wanting to be a country singer since I was nine years old and sometimes, I feel like I’m constantly in a battle with the rest of the industry to prove to them that I’m not just a TV personality or an influencer because that has outshined my music. I’ve also been struggling with the challenges I face in my career. I go from one extreme to being obsessed with working out and being muscular and thin to just giving up and gaining because the food make me feel better and then ultimately, it’s a cycle that just gets worse again. I’ve been battling some body image issues, and when I really think about it, I probably always have. It’s been a little worse lately where I just break down and cry. My anxiety has gotten worse, my self-esteem, my confidence. But I have definitely struggled these past couple years. I have a very blessed life with healthy children and an incredible loving rock of a husband. I have also always felt a duty to make people smile and happy or laugh and always be that bubbly girl. The reason why I want to share this is because I think I got to a place where I was trying to hide my vulnerabilities because if I made everything look great all the time it would hide my internal struggles. There have been really beautiful, amazing moment but also some pretty low lows. ![]() I have struggled the last couple of years. “I feel like I let so many people down that it sent me down a spiral again of depression and made me worried no one would want to come once the tour is back up running later this summer.”Ī post shared by Jessie James Decker can read Jessie James Decker’s letter to fans in its entirety below. “I’m ripped apart constantly on a daily basis which kills me a little every day and makes me wonder what my purpose in this business is and truthfully makes me consider quitting everything sometimes and disappear,” she professed.Īfter battling a bout of COVID that forced her to postpone the remaining dates on her tour, Decker hit a new low. She admitted that she still breaks down and cries over the situation as well as the Reddit forum that popped up during the trying times. Her vulnerable message also detailed some “family issues” that have impacted her tremendously over the past few years. “As a woman in 2022, I don’t understand why I can’t have a family, publish books, own a fashion brand, be an influencer, and do TV without being questioned if I take my music career seriously just because I’ve chosen to dream big.” I’ve been wanting to be a country singer since I was nine years old and sometimes, I feel like I’m constantly in a battle with the rest of the industry to prove to them that I’m not just a TV personality or an influencer because that has outshined my music,” she continued. ![]() “I’ve also been struggling with the challenges I face in my career. “I go from one extreme to being obsessed with working out and being muscular and thin to just giving up and gaining because the food make me feel better and then ultimately, it’s a cycle that just gets worse again.” Jessie James Decker Struggles With Feeling Accepted In Country Musicĭecker, who released her EP, The Woman I’ve Become, in late 2021, also opened up about her country music career and confessed that she doesn’t feel accepted because she constantly has to prove herself. I’ve been battling some body image issues, and when I really think about it, I probably always have,” she said. “It’s been a little worse lately where I just break down and cry. The mother of three went on to admit that her anxiety, self-esteem, and confidence have “gotten worse” in recent years. I think life changes and growth have made me confident enough to show that vulnerable side.”ĭecker has accumulated more than 100 million on-demand streams and has achieved success in multiple arenas as a singer, TV personality, designer, beauty and lifestyle influencer, and New York Times best-selling author.Jessie James Decker Photo by Andrew Wendowski “It’s a true transition from the young girl I was to the woman I have become. “ The Woman I’ve Become is unlike any record I’ve ever created,” Decker says. The Woman I’ve Become features seven songs that are both a reflection and celebration of personal growth, including her self-assured anthem “Should Have Known Better” which reached No. Along with the EP announcement, Decker has released a teaser from the upcoming collection, “ Not In Love With You.” 22 via Big Yellow Dog / Atlantic Records / Warner Music Nashville. Jessie James Decker‘s latest project, The Woman I’ve Become, will be released Oct. ![]() ![]() ![]() Now how do you go about building a monster motor? Buy a C-18 short block and take everything else from a C-15 6NZ and build a motor.you could also install bigger injectors and cam while building the monster for some really unreasonable amounts of HP. Record exactly what you see on the screen and turn it into a screencast in next to no time. The heads are basically the same in all of these engines. Screenium Screenium is a screen capture utility that allows users to create live movies of a Macs display, capturing the desktop, applications, mouse movements, and voiceover audio in high-quality, real-time screencasts. 79 KW W900A 3406B, Garrett GT55 turbo, RTO12513, 4.11 SQHP rockwells 79 KW K100C 400BC1, Holset HT4B hybrid, custom injectors, RTO12513, 4. This should be your intention too, as a user, to. Our intentions are not to harm Financial software company but to give the possibility to those who can not pay for any piece of software out there. This release was created for you, eager to use Financial Advisor 2.18 full and without limitations. Screenium 2.18 serial number serial number#So you can make a 3406E 14.6L an 18.0L engine if you wanted to. The serial number for Financial is available. You can also use the dmidecode to read any specific hardware/system parameter by specifying the parameter name. This will highlight the serial number of the hardware. The liners outside diameter and length are the same for all the engines, but the C-18 uses different O-Rings to seal the liner to the block. If you want to get a serial number of the system in any Linux system like Ubuntu, run following command in terminal. The crankshaft will interchange between blocks, because it uses the same main bearings. The C-18 and C15 Acert use a different style rod with wider rod bearings. The block design is the same for all these engines.so parts interchange very easily for some interesting hp gains. ![]() Lowest number used with 1948 prefixes for. (Ford) cars the lowest number used with 1948 prefixes for six-cylinder. The C15 Acert is a 15.2L and uses the small bore of the 14.6L with the longer stroke of the 15.8L 4, 1947): Engine and model numbers for 1948. The 3406E and C-15 is a 14.6L(890 CI) 137mm(5.4") bore X 165mm(6.5") stroke screenium 2 :serial : box-scr2-1n2e-rfg9-lb3t-a45q-lmlp-7mry-f5ni am the 1st person on youtube to get this code - do not copy. ![]() ![]() She explained: "I don't have a huge family to shop for, and we're all big on reducing our footprint (and cost) so I'll save some bags and put them in a bag hanger. One reader, Serena, used this solution, and provided the picture below. Instead, you'd hang it in a closet which could get it out of the way, but still handy for when you need to give a present and want to grab a bag. The picture above is used to illustrate how many bags the organizer holds, but obviously you wouldn't hang it in the middle of the doorway. ![]() Here are additional gift bag organizers available, of both the hanging variety and others: Here's a review on this site of this product which you could hang on the back of a door or even inside a closet. So another idea is to use a hanging gift bag organizer. ReviewThat may be hard to come by in your home. How? Simply click here to return to holiday clutter. Join in and write your own page! It's easy to do. (You can also see a similar idea below where a reader with a smaller collection used an expandable file folder for a similar organizational method.) I think this can be great if you've got lots of different categories of bags to find the one most appropriate for the situation as quickly as possible. ![]() I made dividers for birthday/wedding/baby etc." It works perfectly for me, they aren't on the floor and they are easy to remove from the hanger to go through when I need one."įiling Bags In Large Plastic ContainerWorking on the theme of "filing" your bags when they lay flat a reader, Margie, suggested the following: "I store them in a large plastic container. Then I put the handles of the large bag over a clothes hanger and hang it in my craft closet. She said: "I fold all of my bags flat and them put them in my largest bag. If you don't want all the bags on the floor you could then hang the big bag, like a reader suggested. Then, it's like a "filing system" to go through when you need one. ![]() Store Your Gift Bags In A Large BagOne idea is to carefully fold all your bags so they lay flat and then use the largest bag you have and place the others inside, grouped according to size. The ideas that follow can be used to organize Christmas gift bags, or really for any holiday or special occasion. That's because if you have room and a good organizational method saving some for future use is a good money saving idea, which also is better for the environment because you're reusing them. #Holiday gift bag ideas how to#If you feel like you need it, I'd recommend you read it and then, you can come back to this article to learn how to organize the rest once you have a more reasonable number! Here's my article on how to declutter gift bags, which can be helpful if you've got too many. That leads me to the first step you should take in any organization project: decluttering. ![]() ![]() ![]() “We need to think about what kind of image would be truly good for our rising country to present to a world that is uneasy about us.” - Chu Yin, Center for China and GlobalizationĬhu Yin said national image counts in China’s diplomacy and it has to take the moral high ground, and cannot disregard humanitarianism. On 1 May, 中国长安网 ( zhongguo chang'an wang), the Weibo account of the Chinese Communist Party’s Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission, posted an image of a rocket launch in China alongside a photo of the bodies of Covid victims being cremated in India, with the caption: “Lighting a fire in China VS lighting a fire in India.” The post was deleted after it sparked controversy. Questioning if China has lost its moral high ground by blatantly gloating at the pandemic going out of control in other countries, he asked, “Where is our national image? Where is our soft power?” Views split on official Chinese social media post disparaging India Some Chinese academics have noted that China’s aid to India is a big-picture strategy, while cold mockery of others tears down its national image.įollowing a debate on Weibo between Global Times editor-in-chief Hu Xijin and Professor Shen Yi of the Department of International Politics at Fudan University, Center for China and Globalization research fellow Chu Yin joined the discussion yesterday with a post of his own. South China Morning Post via Getty ImagesĬremations are being held en masse across the country, and families and relatives are scouring hospitals for oxygen for loved ones.Īccording to the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus tracker, India has nearly 20 million cases, second only to the US.A social media post from an account linked to the Chinese authorities mocking India over its coronavirus crisis has sparked intense debate over China’s comments on other countries. “I don’t think it’s proper … to mock India at present,” said Hu Xijin, editor-in-chief of the Global Times. The record-breaking surge of coronavirus cases in India has overwhelmed the country’s cremation facilities, morgues and hospitals. “We hope everyone gives attention to the Chinese government and mainstream public opinion supporting India’s fight against the epidemic,” it told Bloomberg News, adding that China will continue to send more supplies to India in the coming days. ”I don’t think we can expect a clarification from the Party account in question, but I do think there was no consensus on this post or else it would not have been removed so quickly,” said Manya Koetse, the editor-in-chief of What’s On Weibo, which tracks trending issues on the platform.Ĭhina’s foreign ministry tried to shift the focus. The accounts should “hold high the banner of humanitarianism at this time, show sympathy for India, and firmly place Chinese society on a moral high ground,” Hu said. The deadly COVID-19 surge in India has overwhelmed hospitals and crematoriums. “I don’t think it’s proper for social media accounts of certain Chinese official institutions or other influential forces to mock India at present,” said Hu Xijin, the editor-in-chief of the Global Times, a Communist Party-backed newspaper. ![]() The image on the account, which has 15 million followers, quickly went viral and prompted howls of outrage from users who were angered by the posting. The post by The Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission reads “China lighting a fire versus India lighting a fire.” Sina Weibo It was captioned: “China lighting a fire versus India lighting a fire.”Īn accompanying hashtag noted that coronavirus cases in hard-hit India have exceeded 400,000 a day, Bloomberg News reported. The Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission on Saturday posted on its official Sina Weibo account - the Chinese equivalent of Twitter - sharing side-by-side images of a Chinese missile launch next to cremation fires in India. The Chinese Communist Party’s law enforcement body pulled a posting mocking India’s COVID-19 death crisis following fierce backlash online in China, according to a report. Hunter Biden probes will focus on ‘national security threat’: GOP repĬhina lauds Elon Musk’s suggestion that Taiwan become a ‘special administrative zone’Ĭhinese ‘police station’ in NYC that spies on dissenters run by shady charity on IRS blacklistīiden claims GOP ‘bought’ Chinese talking points on manufacturing, sidesteps family’s own alleged ties ![]() |
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